A nor'easter will bring heavy snow to parts of western Massachusetts, along with a mixture of rain and ice for tonight and Thursday. Snow looks likely after 10 p.m. from south to north. It will intensify overnight, delivering the first major snowfall of the season for the region.
Expected snowfall totals: downtown Springfield 1 to 3 inches, Northampton 2 to 4 inches, Greenfield 4 to 6 inches, Berkshires 6 to 9 inches...with isolated amounts closer to a foot.
The day itself today will be dry across western Massachusetts, even with clouds filing into the region throughout the afternoon ahead of an approaching nor'easter.
Just like the last couple of days, bundle up a bit as high temperatures will be in the mid-30s. This morning's commute was fine, as will this evening's. Thursday morning's commute will be hazardous.
Tomorrow morning, a slight mild push from the south will start changing over that snow to rain (with patches of ice in between). This changeover will be most prominent in the valley, while the hilltowns will hold onto the heavy wet snow for a while longer. This will help limit the total snowfall accumulations for the Springfield area.
The factor that will throw off these snowfall totals is when the rain mixes into western Massachusetts ... too soon and snowfall totals will be reduced, barely any rain and snowfall could be much higher. The expected snowfall totals above count on rain commencing for the valley by early Thursday morning.
By Thursday evening, we will see all the activity taper off. Most of the activity in the Springfield area is expected to be rain showers at that time, but another changeover back to a quick coating of snow, ice or both is possible when temperatures fall again for Thursday night. Friday will be a drier day, with just some leftover snow flurries in the Berkshires.
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