Friday, May 17 2013 2:05 AM EDT2013-05-17 06:05:56 GMT
Experts say it's not a matter of if a deadly tornado will hit the Hub City again, but when. KCBD set out to fact check everything we've been told to in an emergency and what we found, may surprise you.More >
Experts say it's not a matter of if a deadly tornado will hit the Hub City again, but when. KCBD set out to fact check common advice about what to do in an emergency and found that some of what we've been told just isn't true. More >
KANSAS CITY, MO (KCTV) -
The National Weather Service said there is a moderate risk for severe weather on Sunday, and isolated tornadoes and supercell storms are possible.
The threat for severe weather will continue into Monday.
Most of Saturday's heavy storms will be found in the western half of Kansas, Oklahoma and into Nebraska. Chances for rain in our region are extremely low as we enjoy a pretty nice start to the weekend. However, chances will increase as we head into Saturday night.
KCTV5 chief meteorologist Chris Suchan expects to see some showers or thunderstorms develop through the night into Sunday morning. A few of the storms will become strong or even severe, and primary concerns with the storms are hail from a half inch to 1.25" in diameter and wind gusts of 35 to 55 mph. The overnight batch of isolated to scattered storms is not expected to be as potent as those that could be seen later on Sunday.
Suchan anticipates any morning activity gradually moving on and leaving a bit of a lull in the area in the middle of Sunday. During that timeframe KCTV5's meteorologists will be analyzing conditions across the region and even west, outside of the viewing region.
The Storm Prediction Center has the entire area outlined for a severe weather outlook. There is a moderate risk for severe weather in all of our counties in Kansas, and the zone extends to western Missouri and includes the Kansas City metro.
Initial development is likely to favor the eastern half of Kansas in the afternoon to evening. The cells would tend to move to the northeast around 30 to 40 mph. Suchan said the storms would have the opportunity to strengthen and organize into robust supercells during Sunday afternoon and into the evening with large damaging hailstones remaining one of the big concerns. Any storm in the area could produce hail 1.25" up to 2.75" in diameter – making them half dollar to baseball-size.
Damaging wind gusts are certainly an issue as well with the potential to reach 55 to 70 mph winds.
"There is also a tornado risk, but it is more isolated in variety, unlike in Texas where they had widespread tornadoes numbering up to 16. If we do, in fact, see a tornado, it could become rather strong as the storms peak intensity," Suchan said.
Storms are likely to linger into the evening Sunday. We may see storms begin to organize into a cluster which would enhance the wind damage risk and lower the potential for excessively large hail and keep the tornado risk isolated.
Suchan said he does not expect everyone to see severe weather. Half the area may not see much.
Suchan recommends that it's best to exercise your safety plan Saturday before heading into the potentially severe weather Sunday.
"Know where your safe room in the home is located should you or your family need to act," he said.
We'll have complete updates in our newscasts, on the web, Facebook and Twitter.
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