Poll shows Trump, Clinton neck-and-neck in swing states - WFSB 3 Connecticut

Campaign 2016

Poll shows Trump, Clinton neck-and-neck in swing states

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Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Sen. Bernie Sanders are all hoping to perform well in three key swing states. Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Sen. Bernie Sanders are all hoping to perform well in three key swing states.
HAMDEN, CT (WFSB) -

A new poll has the top presidential candidates from the Republicans and Democrats neck-and-neck in key swing states.

The latest Quinnipiac University poll, which was released on Tuesday, showed Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton on each others heels in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

However, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont runs stronger against Trump, who is the likely Republican nominee.

"Six months from Election Day, the presidential races between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the three most crucial states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, are too close to call," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll. 

Both Trump and Clinton have negative favorability ratings among voters in each of those states which is compared to Sanders' split score.

Researchers said they focus on those states because since 1960, no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of the three states.

Here's how the numbers break down by state:

  • Florida - Clinton 43 percent to Trump 42 percent, Sanders 44 percent to Trump 42 percent
  • Ohio - Trump 43 percent to Clinton 39 percent, Sanders 43 percent to Trump 41 percent
  • Pennsylvania - Clinton 43 percent to Trump 42 percent, Sanders 47 percent to Trump 41 percent

"At this juncture, Trump is doing better in Pennsylvania than the GOP nominees in 2008 and 2012," Brown said. "And the two candidates are about where their party predecessors were at this point in Ohio and Florida."

Brown said the gender gap is massive and currently benefits Trump.

"In Pennsylvania, Clinton's 19-point lead among women matches Trump's 21-point margin among men," he said. "In Ohio, she is up 7 points among women but down 15 points with men. In Florida she is up 13 points among women but down 13 points among men."

Voters believe Trump would do a better job handling the economy, according to Brown. Voters in Florida and Ohio also believe he'd also do a better job at handling terrorism. Those in Pennsylvania are divided.

"By wide margins, voters in all three states say Clinton is more intelligent than Trump and by smaller margins, voters in all three states say she has higher moral standards," Brown said.

For a complete breakdown of the poll, head to Quinnipiac's website here.

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