Our forecast remains on track! We'll see a mix of sun and clouds this afternoon with highs between 45 and 50 with a wind out of the west (it could gust to over 25 mph).
The weekend will be dry but temperatures will trend cooler, so it will actually feel more like early December with highs in the lower to mid-40s. It will be dry both Saturday and Sunday...the wind will still be a bit breezy (but that wind begins relaxing over the second half of the weekend).
Next week, we trend a bit unsettled with a couple chances for rain and perhaps even some snow!
Meteorologist Mark Dixon
A BENEFICIAL RAINFALL THIS WEEK…
The 2 rounds of rain this week produced 1.5” to 4.0” of rain across the state! Here are a few sample storm totals: Staffordville 1.52”, Wethersfield 1.68”, Union 1.94”, Higganum 2.28”, Milford 2.75”, Old Lyme 2.62”, and Bethel 3.60”. At Bradley International Airport in Windsor Locks, the grand total is 1.97”. That puts the yearly precipitation total up to 30.28”, which means 2016 will NOT be the driest year in more than 100 years of record keeping. That honor goes to 1965 when there was only 29.45” of precipitation. However, we still have a deficit for the year of 12.25”!
Today will be a pretty nice day with a mix of clouds and sunshine. High temperatures will range from the low and middle 40s in the Litchfield Hills to around 50 or 52 degrees in Southeastern Connecticut. Like yesterday, there will be a brisk west-northwesterly wind that could gust to 30 mph or higher.
THE FIRST WEEKEND OF DECEMBER…
There will be no storms to worry about this weekend! This is great news if you have plans to put up outdoor holiday decorations. You might even have plans to visit your local Christmas tree farm. Tomorrow will be partly sunny and quite breezy. Highs will be in the middle 40s. The northwesterly wind will be a little stronger with frequent gusts to over 30 mph expected.
Winds on Sunday won’t be as strong, but there will still be a brisk northwesterly breeze. High temperatures will range from 40-45 degrees. It will be a nice looking day with partly to mostly sunny skies.
High pressure will bring clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds Sunday night. The mercury will dip into the 20s in many outlying areas. Sunday night will be the coldest of the next several nights.
Once we get beyond Sunday, the forecast becomes very tricky. High pressure should hold on for one more day. For now, we are forecasting partly to mostly sunny skies on Monday. Winds will be light and temperatures should reach the middle 40s. Mainly clear skies and light winds should allow temperatures to drop into the 20s Monday night.
According to one of our forecast guidance models, the GFS, a storm will move up the coast on Tuesday. If this model is correct, rain will arrive by Tuesday afternoon. It could start out as a wintry mix, but for now we are expecting a change to rain. Of course, this all depends on the exact storm track. High temperatures should range from the upper 30s inland to the middle 40s at the coast.
Weather conditions should settle down on Wednesday, although there may be some lingering showers. With mostly cloudy skies, high temperatures should be held to the 40s.
Thursday could be an interesting day. A developing coastal storm will pull in much colder air and a northwesterly wind could become quite strong. Plus, there could be a period of snow or at least some snow showers as colder air sweeps into the state. We are forecasting high temperatures in the 30s and lower 40s!
Chief Meteorologist Bruce DePrest with Scot Haney
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