After a round of rain this morning, the afternoon will feature more showers and areas of drizzle. Temperatures today will feel more like late March, as opposed to early June… the northeasterly breeze makes it feel even chillier. In fact, we're on track to perhaps set a record for coolest high temperature for the Greater Hartford Area (54).
Tomorrow, we finally start to dry out (albeit momentarily). There could be lingering showers or drizzle early Wednesday but by late in the day we will likely see at least some partial clearing. With enough sunshine, temperatures could reach the 70 degree mark!
At one point, a coastal storm was going to miss us Thursday night into Friday… that may no longer be the case. This means we will likely see more rain during that timeframe.
With regard to the weekend, our going forecast is on track: trending warmer with a chance for isolated storms later Saturday; otherwise the weekend appears to be dry. Early next week, we could still reach or exceed 90!
Meteorologist Mark Dixon
An area of low pressure “cut-off” from the main flow aloft will keep our weather unsettled as several impulses or disturbances pivot around it. So for today, you’ll certainly need the umbrella with periods of rain. It won’t rain all day, but when it isn’t raining it will be damp and drizzly. Temperatures will also be unseasonably cool. Highs will likely be achieved early today (in the mid-50s), then drop a bit through the course of the afternoon. It will feel more like late-March or early-April this afternoon.
THE REST OF THE WEEK…
While there could be some lingering showers tomorrow, conditions will start to improve! We may actually see some breaks in the clouds before the day is over. At one point, a coastal low was to develop and come close to CT late Thursday, but our latest model projections show the storm passing well offshore, so Thursday looks to be dry. There should be more clouds than sun with highs near 70. On Friday, temperatures may get close to 80 under a mix of sun and clouds.
A southwesterly flow begins to develop as we head into the weekend with high pressure setting up shop off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Not only is it going to be warmer, but it's also going to be a bit muggier in nature. A frontal boundary late Saturday will be the focal point for an isolated storm threat; otherwise, the weekend doesn’t look too bad! Sunday, at least as of now, will feature a mostly sunny sky.
EARLY NEXT WEEK…
The warming trend continues as we head into Monday. Under a partly to mostly sunny sky, temperatures could reach or exceed 90!
Meteorologist Mark Dixon with Scot Haney
A RECAP OF LAST WEDNESDAY’S STORMS
A tornado warning was issued for Northern Fairfield County and portions of Southern Litchfield County early yesterday evening. Mark Dixon and I were live on Channel 3 minutes before the tornado warning was issued by the National Weather Service. The severe storm moved into Connecticut from Eastern New York. Today, a National Weather Service team from Albany New York surveyed the damage and they confirmed a tornado touchdown in the town of Wappinger, New York, which is located in Dutchess County. The tornado dissipated before reaching Connecticut. It was only on the ground for 1.25 miles. It was an EF1 tornado with maximum wind speeds of 100 mph. The tornado was approximately ¼ mile wide. Fortunately, there were no injuries. Damage included numerous snapped hardwood and softwood trees, and the roof of a shed was lifted off.
A RECAP OF MAY 2017
May 2017 went into the record books as a cool, wet month. The average temperature at Bradley International Airport in Windsor Locks was 58.3 degrees, which is 1.2 degrees cooler than normal. We had a heat wave on the 17th, 18th, and 19th when the temperature was 94, 96, and 92 respectively. However, the cool days more than offset the warm ones. There were many days when the high temperature was only in the 50s and 60s. 21 out of the 31 days in May had an average temperatures that was at or below normal. We also had a good deal of rain with a grand total of 4.59” in Windsor Locks, which is 0.24” above normal.
In Bridgeport, May was 0.5 degrees warmer than normal with an average temperature of 59.6 degrees. The temperature reached a record shattering 93 degrees on the 18th. Bridgeport received even more rain than Windsor Locks. There was a total of 5.49”, which is 1.69” above normal.
THE UPCOMING HURRICANE SEASON
June 1st marked the beginning of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. For several reasons, forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center are expecting an active season with 11-17 tropical storms (average is 12) of which 5-9 are expected to become hurricanes (average is 6) and of those hurricanes 2-4 are expected to become major (average is 3). A major hurricane is a category 3, 4, or 5 with maximum sustained winds of 111 mph or higher. A weak or absent El Nino in the Pacific, weak shear over the Atlantic Basin, and normal or warmer than normal sea surface temperatures favor an active season.
The season runs from June 1st through November 30th. However, this season got off to an unusually early start when Tropical Storm Arlene formed in the Eastern Atlantic in April.
The last hurricane to score a direct hit on Connecticut was Gloria on September 27th in 1985. Gloria’s eye crossed the Connecticut Coast near Bridgeport.
How the upcoming season will impact Connecticut remains to be seen, but the Early Warning Forecast team will keep you safe and informed over the coming months!
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