THE LAST WEEKEND OF SUMMER…
After locally dense fog this morning burns off, we'll see a decent amount of sunshine. We're starting the day with temperatures in the 60s and by this afternoon we'll top out in the 80 to 85 degree range inland... only a couple of degrees cooler along the coast. It will feel more like August, as opposed to the middle of September - our average high for today is 75! Furthermore, it will be quite humid with dew point readings in the upper 60s and lower 70s. With enough instability later today, combined with the daytime heating... we'll run the risk for an isolated shower to storm. It's a situation where many towns will likely remain dry, with just hit or miss type development.
Tomorrow, we can essentially expect a repeat of today's weather... from the morning fog to similar heat and humidity. The chance for a shower or storm is even lower tomorrow than for today.
It's a great weekend to get in some additional time at area beaches! We also have the Four Town Fair, the Guilford Fair, The Orange Country Fair, and of course the Berlin Lions Agricultural Fair. The Big E is now underway and you have through October 1st to enjoy the Eastern States Exposition!
NEXT WEEK AND JOSE'S IMPACT…
Monday looks nice as well with a partly sunny sky with highs ranging from the 70s at the coast to the lower 80s over interior portions of the state.
However, our weather on Tuesday and Wednesday will greatly depend on the future course of Hurricane Jose and it does look like Jose will have at least some impact on Connecticut. As of 5am, Jose was centered about 550 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, NC and moving toward the northwest at 9 mph with sustained wind of 80 mph.
Over the weekend, Jose will move northwestward then turn more to the north. While the storm's center will pass offshore of the Mid-Atlantic state, tropical storm force wind may be felt through the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Indications are Jose will approach New England on Tuesday, pass offshore, then depart late Wednesday. The latest track favors a path near to just east of Nantucket before making a sharp right-hand turn. This would place Connecticut on the “better” side of the storm, but we could still get a period of heavy rain and gusty wind. We need to note that Connecticut lies within the cone of uncertainty and that means a more direct hit and a more severe impact on our state can’t be ruled out. The aforementioned right-hand turn will be key in what unfolds for CT... if sooner, the impact will be less as Jose would pass farther out to sea from Southern New England.
Based on the current track prediction, we expect rain to develop on Tuesday and a northeasterly wind will pick up throughout the day. Tuesday night will be rainy and windy with tropical storm force winds (39 mph or greater) possible, especially over Eastern and Southeastern Connecticut. Rain and wind could be a problem Wednesday morning, then weather conditions will improve during the afternoon. The last several runs of the GFS model moves Jose along a little faster than the European model. If the European model proves to be accurate, the impacts from Jose will be slower to move in on Tuesday and slower to depart on Wednesday. Many things could change over the coming days, but we will be sure to keep you updated on-air, online, on our app, and through social media.
At this point, the end of next week looks terrific with a mostly sunny sky and continued warm temperatures both Thursday and Friday.
Meteorologists Mark Dixon and Bruce DePrest
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