A warm/muggy weekend, potentially heavy rain from Nate - WFSB 3 Connecticut

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A warm/muggy weekend, potentially heavy rain from Nate

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HARTFORD, CT (WFSB) -

AFTERNOON UPDATE...

As we close out the week… we're monitoring showers in MA that will move toward the east and likely stay just to our north.  Due to this, far northern CT will see a bit  more cloud cover than areas farther south.  Temperatures will top out in the 75 to 80 degree range (so still above average but a bit cooler than yesterday). 

For the weekend:  it will be warm and muggy both days.  Saturday will feature more clouds than sun.  Tomorrow night into the first half of Sunday, showers now appear more likely.  Sunday night into Monday the remnants of Nate will bring us rain, potentially heavy at times.  Parts of Southern New England may receive 1 to 2” of rain, with locally higher amounts --- given this… poor drainage flooding may occur, we'll be monitoring closely. 

Meteorologist Mark Dixon 

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TODAY…

Hey! Overall, it's going to be a pretty nice day with partly sunny skies and dry weather.  The risk of a shower now appears to be very low.  While it won’t be as warm as yesterday, temperatures will remain well above normal with highs in the mid to perhaps upper 70s.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY…

Warm, humid air will surge northward into Southern New England over the weekend.  A warm front will pass through Connecticut tomorrow.  The day will likely start out cloudy and there may be areas of fog as well.  There could be a sprinkle or some spotty drizzle, but that’s about it.  The sky should become partly sunny tomorrow afternoon and a humid southerly breeze will freshen.  Dew point readings will rise well into the 60s and temperatures will likely peak in the 70s.  We might even have a shot at 80 degrees, but that will depend on the progression of the warm front and when the sun breaks through the clouds.  Tomorrow night will be unusually balmy for early October with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

Sunday will be warm and humid with highs in the lower 80s over interior portions of the state.  Dew point readings will be in the 60s to possibly near 70 degrees.  A weak cold front will approach New England from the west and that means there will be a slight chance for a shower, perhaps even a thunderstorm in the late afternoon or evening.  Sky conditions will vary from partly to mostly cloudy.  Overall, it's going to be a pretty nice day if you don’t mind the high humidity!

COLUMBUS DAY…

Monday continues to look wet with periods of rain.  The rain could be heavy at some point, especially if moisture from Tropical Storm Nate comes into play.  Nate is currently moving across eastern portions of Nicaragua and Honduras.  Nate is emerging over warm water in the Southwestern Caribbean Sea right now, then it could strike the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening.  From there, Nate will emerge in the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, where it is forecast to strengthen into at least a Category 1 hurricane.   The models are beginning to narrow in on a landfall somewhere along the Louisiana Coast early Sunday morning.

Nate will weaken rapidly over land, but tropical moisture from this system will move northward and it could reach New England as early as Monday, Columbus Day.  If that happens, we could have a lot of rain.  At this point we are not sure where the heaviest rain will fall, but this will need to be watched closely.  We really need some rain since it has been so dry lately, but we don’t want too much all at once.  Abundant cloud cover and rain should limit highs to the lower 70s and the air will remain humid.

More rain appears likely Monday night and it could be locally heavy.  Overnight lows will be in the 60s.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY…

Rain from the remnants of Nate should end Tuesday morning and weather conditions are expected to improve during the afternoon.  The air will remain unseasonably mild with highs in the 70s. 

A shower or thunderstorm can’t be ruled out on Wednesday, but it should be a mainly dry day with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the 70s.

THURSDAY…

Big changes are possible by Thursday.  Low pressure approaching from the west could produce rain.  At the same time, high pressure to our north may provide an east to northeasterly flow of much cooler air.  For now, we are forecasting periods of rain with highs only in the 60s.

Chief Meteorologist Bruce DePrest with Scot Haney

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