After some rain this morning, showers will be scattered throughout the afternoon - at times, the rain may be briefly heavy. This rain is in association with the remnants of Nate and given that the center is tracking to our north (that’s where the heaviest of the rain will fall), any poor drainage issues here in CT will be very limited/isolated (if occur at all). It tapers off this evening and given that is has been dry lately here in CT, the rain is actually beneficial. Temperatures today will be steady, in the lower to mid-70s.
Tomorrow the sun comes back out and it will be quite warm as temperatures reach or exceed 80... that's about 15 degrees above average! However, with a northwesterly wind, the humidity will begin to drop as some drier air works into the state, therefore making it feel a bit more comfortable.
Our next chance for rain comes late Wednesday into early Thursday; otherwise we'll end the week with sun and clouds; lows will be in the 40s, highs between 65 and 70.
Meteorologist Mark Dixon
NATE AND THE IMPACT ON COLUMBUS DAY
Rain will come today, Columbus Day. The remnants of Nate will be the cause of a wet day. As it stands now, the track of the storm will go to our north. This track will bring the majority of the rain to northern New England, where 1” to 3” of rain may fall. Here in Connecticut, we will get less, perhaps .25” to 1.0”.
The time line on events will follow this general track: this morning it's cloudy with showers in parts of the state, especially in NW CT. By this afternoon, however, the rains will move into the state. Rain could be heavy and come with lightning and a little bit of gusty wind – perhaps up to 30 MPH.
Rain will likely end tonight as the remnants of Nate move rapidly away to the east of New England. Temperatures will top off in the low-70s this afternoon, and between 60 and 65 tonight.
STILL WARM TUESDAY, THEN COOLER WEDNESDAY
Much better weather will arrive. After some morning fog clears, the sky will turn mostly sunny during the day tomorrow. The air will remain unseasonably warm with highs 75-80 expected.
Wednesday will begin as a pleasant day with partly sunny skies; however, a northeasterly flow around high pressure to our north will begin to deliver cooler, maritime air to southern New England. This wind will make the air feel more appropriate for October again with highs in the mid to upper 60s. This flow, however, will also produce low clouds that will turn the sky gray by later afternoon Wednesday. Drizzle or light rain showers are also possible.
THURSDAY, FRIDAY WILL REMAIN CLOUDY AND COOL
Thursday should be mainly dry, cool, and cloudy. The maritime flow will likely produce low-altitude clouds and possibly isolated showers or drizzle. The air will be quite cool as well thanks to the northeasterly flow from off the North Atlantic. Morning lows will be in the mid to upper 40s and afternoon highs will be in the lower-60s at best.
The moist, ocean flow could result in showers and drizzle Thursday night and Friday morning. Otherwise, Friday should be mainly dry with an overcast sky in the morning giving way to breaks of sunshine in the afternoon. High temperatures should be in the 60s to possibly near 70 degrees.
DRIER AND BRIGHTER NEXT WEEKEND
Saturday and Sunday will be drier. A cool front will pass through the state and the wind will turn northwesterly, drawing in drier air form southern Canada. The air will become crisper with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s and low-50s.
Sunday will turn warmer and more humid. A storm system will glide through southern Canada and bring showers there. We'll be positioned to the south or the storm, and thus will experience a southwesterly flow that will bring partly sunny skies, warmth, and humidity. By day’s end, the weather will have a summer-like quality with highs in the upper-70s.
Meteorologist Mike Cameron with Scot Haney
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