Damp and Cool to Start the Week... - WFSB 3 Connecticut

Technical Discussion

Damp and Cool to Start the Week...

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HARTFORD, CT (WFSB) -

AFTERNOON UPDATE:

Rain this morning was enough to add up to over an inch in spots… as of the Noon hour, the steady has ended.  While there could be some breaks in the clouds this afternoon, a spotty shower will be possible through the evening hours (especially across western/northwestern CT).  Temps may struggle to reach/exceed 60 … very much dependent upon if we see any/enough sunshine.  It *may* be cool enough to set a record for coolest high temperature... the record is 59 for both Bridgeport and the Hartford Area. 

Tomorrow, will be milder (near 70) but still below average.  Tuesday morning will feature some patchy fog, but then sunshine...  during the afternoon we’ll run the risk for showers and isolated thunderstorms (severe weather is not expected, but storms that develop could produce small hail). 

The latter half of the week will be drier and warmer… mid-70s Thursday, 80 or higher Friday.

For the weekend… it looks to start dry and warm (mid-80s Saturday), then rain chances appear to go up later Saturday into Sunday.   With clouds and rain, temperatures Sunday may only be near 70 for highs.

Meteorologist Mark Dixon 

  

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TODAY

As a low pressure center moves south of the state, rain will be steady for a good chunk of the day and may come down moderately or heavily during part of its duration.  The pressure gradient between the storm to our south and high pressure to our northeast will cause a strong east to northeasterly breeze, making the air unseasonably cool with highs in the 50s to near 60 degrees.  Should both Hartford and Bridgeport experience readings of 59 degrees or cooler all day, they will tie or break the record cold high temperatures for the day, with Hartford’s record of 59 having been set in 1945 and Bridgeport’s record of 59 having been set in 2003. 

The storm will depart tonight.  That's when the rain will come to an end.  An inch or more of rain is possible in many towns before all is said and done. A few locations may receive more, on the order of 1.5” to 2.0”.

Temperatures are expected to drop into the 40s tonight as the sky becomes partly cloudy and slightly drier air arrives.

Tomorrow will start out great! However, during the afternoon, clouds are expected to gather and showers might be present as another disturbance approaches New England from the northwest.  As we wait for the storm, the morning will be dry, but showers are expected to develop during the afternoon.  Before the clouds and showers arrive, temperatures should reach the mid to upper 60s.  The rain will taper off overnight.

UNSETTLED WEDNESDAY

A few showers are possible Wednesday, too, but most of the day should be dry and gray.  Low pressure will slip by just to the south of New England on Wednesday morning.  With this system so close, we can anticipate at least a few showers with highs in the 60s. 

GENERALLY QUIET THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
 

High pressure will move into the Northeast for the end of the week and that means we should be in decent shape Thursday and Friday.  Thursday should be partly to mostly sunny with highs around 80 degrees.  Friday may begin with a few showers as a weak weather front passes through the state, but the remaining 80% of the day will be sunny and warmer with highs in the 80s.  The humidity will be low both days.

Saturday will be wonderful.  High pressure will be parked right overhead.  Sunshine and summer warmth will come!  Another storm will arrive by Sunday afternoon and may bring a dose of heavy rain.

MAY 2018, ONE OF THE WARMEST ON RECORD!

The average temperature for May 2018 will likely come in at 64.4 degrees at Bradley International Airport.  If that is indeed the case, this May will be tied for the 4th warmest on record for the Greater Hartford Area and records date back to 1905!  May 1965 also had an average temperature of 64.4 degrees.  The warmest May was just 3 years ago, in 2015.  The average temperature was 66.0 degrees.  May 1991 is the second warmest with an average temperature of 65.8 degrees and 3rd place goes to May 1975 with an average temperature of 64.5 degrees.

This May, we had 4 days with a high temperature of at least 90 degrees at Bradley International.  The hottest day was May 3rd when we had a record breaking 94 degrees.  We also had a number of cool and wet days, but the warm days far outweighed the cool ones.

May was also a dry month overall.  Total rainfall at the airport was 2.47”, which is 1.88” below normal.

JUNE’S MILESTONES

June 1st, marks the beginning of the meteorological summer.  For record keeping purposes, the meteorological summer includes all of June, July, and August. 

Astronomical summer occurs at the summer solstice which is Thursday, June 21st, at 6:07 am this year.

June 1 also marks the beginning of the hurricane season.  The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) already released their initial forecast for the 2018 Tropical Season for the Atlantic Basin.  They are predicting a near normal or slightly more active than normal season with 10-16 named storms (average is 12) of which 5-9 are expected to become hurricanes (average is 6).  Of those hurricanes, 1-4 are expected to become major hurricanes (average is 3).  A major hurricane is a Category 3 or higher.  The hurricane season is long; it officially lasts through November 30th.  This season got off to an early start when Subtropical Storm Alberto moved northward through the Gulf of Mexico, making landfall on the Florida Panhandle earlier this week, before the official tropical storm season began.

Meteorologist Mike Cameron with Scot Haney

MAY 15th’s DEVASTATING STORMS…

There were three EF-1 tornadoes in Connecticut on Tuesday, May 15th. 

The first tornado occurred on the northeastern side of Winsted around 3:44 to 3:46 in the afternoon.  Estimated winds were 95 mph.  The maximum path width was 175 yards and the path length was 0.7 miles.  The same thunderstorm spawned a waterspout of unknown intensity over the Barkhamsted Reservoir.  There were no reports of damage from the waterspout.

The second EF-1 tornado occurred in the towns of Southbury and Oxford around 4:53-5:01 pm.  Winds were 100 mph.  The maximum path width was 400 yards and the path length was 4.2 miles. 

The third EF-1 tornado occurred in Beacon Falls and Hamden around 5:01-5:09pm.  Winds were 110 mph.  The maximum path width was 600 yards and the path length was 9.5 miles.  

Damage from a microbust is responsible for damage from Hamden to Wallingford.  This occurred from 5:09pm - 5:14pm.  Winds were up to 100 mph.  The maximum path width was 880 yards and the path length was 7.25 miles.

A deadly macroburst occurred in New Fairfield and Brookfield at around 4:37-4:53 pm.  Winds were 110 mph.  The maximum path width was three miles and the path length was nine miles.  Unfortunately, there were two fatalities and one injury.

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