After some scattered rain and light freezing rain earlier this morning across farther northern CT, the afternoon will feature periods of dry weather and then another round of scattered rain showers. The possibility of rain will continue through the evening commute before ending shortly thereafter with the passage of a cold front. Temperatures warm to between 45 and 50 this afternoon.
For the weekend, our forecast is on track. Saturday will feature a party to mostly sunny sky, temps in the lower 40s. Sunday will be a few degrees cooler with increasing cloudiness as the day progresses.
By daybreak Monday, areas of light snow look likely and could continue through the day… it’s not a major storm by any means, but minor accumulations appear possible (at least as of now, and one model still keeps us basically dry). Then Tuesday is a brighter, quiet day. Farther down the road, the next storm system to impact the region arrives later Wednesday and lasts into Thursday.
Meteorologist Mark Dixon
A cold front will approach New England from the west today. In advance of the front, a strong southerly breeze will send temperatures rising into the mid and upper 40s. Gusts to 30 mph are possible. A shower is possible at just about any time, but today won't be a washout. In fact, most of the day will be dry and we’ll probably get a peek at the sun from time to time. Over the higher elevations of Northern and Western Connecticut, some wet snow could mix with the rain.
The front will pass through Connecticut early this evening and showers will quickly come to an end. The sky will become clear overnight and temperatures will fall into the 20s and lower 30s degrees by dawn.
A series of storms will track to the south of New England over the weekend. The first storm is expected to move off the North Carolina Coast tomorrow. It will pass out to sea well to the south of New England and that means we’ll enjoy a nice winter day. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny and highs will range from 40-45.
The second storm could take a closer run at us, but it wouldn’t arrive until late Sunday night. Most of Sunday will be nice with mostly sunny skies. Morning lows will range from 15-25 and afternoon highs will be near 40 degrees. Clouds will overspread the state Sunday night and snow could develop toward or after midnight.
Snow is possible on Monday, but the guidance models are still at odds. The GFS has been consistently forecasting snow while the European model is keeping the storm south of New England. For now, we are forecasting a light snowfall for Monday and it could have some impact on the morning commute. Any snow should taper off during the course of the afternoon and temperatures should rise well into the 30s.
We are confident Tuesday will be nice with mostly sunny skies and seasonably cold temperatures. Morning lows will be in the teens to near 20, and afternoon highs will be in the 30s.
A storm should impact Connecticut Wednesday and Thursday. The timing and precipitation types are still in question. At this point, it looks like snow or a wintry mix will develop Wednesday, hopefully after the morning commute. Highs will be in the 30s. Precipitation could change to freezing rain and rain Wednesday night. The storm is expected to linger into Thursday morning. The storm will depart Thursday afternoon and weather conditions will improve. We should see some partial clearing and temperatures are expected to rise into the 40s.
We had record cold in Connecticut on the last day of January. The low of -7 in Windsor Locks was not a record. The record for January 31st remains -12, set in 1948. However, Bridgeport ‘s low of 3 degrees set a new record. The previous record was 5 degrees, set in 1965. We also set new records for the coldest “high” temperature for January 31st. The high in Windsor Locks was 12 degrees, which beat the previous record of 15 degrees, set in 1951. The high in Bridgeport was 18 degrees, which beat the previous record of 24 degrees, set in 2015.
January 2019 went into the record books as a slightly colder than normal month. The average temperature was 25.9 degrees at Bradley International, which is 0.2 degrees colder than normal. Precipitation in January was well above normal. The grand total in Windsor Locks was 5.78”, which is 2.55” above normal. This total includes rain, plus the amount of liquid water contained in snow and ice. Total snowfall was 12.4”, which is only 0.1” above normal.
Chief Meteorologist Bruce DePrest with Scot Haney
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