Well it certainly isn't the best of days out there. It's a rainy Monday and that rain is expected to continue for the remainder of the day. As a matter of fact, there is some indication that thunderstorms could pop up this evening, through tonight and right through early tomorrow morning. That's why we've gone ahead an issued an Early Warning Weather Day for the potential for some strong to severe storms later on. If you're going to be out and about this evening, or are working the third shift, please be careful as some of these storms could come with heavy downpours, gusty winds and strong cloud to ground lightning.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY TODAY
Exceptionally high tide and an increasing east and northeasterly wind over the open waters of the Atlantic and Long Island Sound could cause minor flooding in the western half of Long Island Sound, including along the shorelines of Fairfield and New Haven Counties. During high tide, which is 12:13 pm for New Haven, the water could rise a foot to a foot and half above normal. Some low-lying areas will get covered with water.
COOL & WET TODAY
Today will be chilly and often rainy. The remnants of Gordon continue to move through New England. For us in Connecticut, this system is bringing a pretty good amount of rain to the state, along with a cool easterly flow from the Canadian Maritimes. Highs will only be in the 60s.
We could have some thunderstorms around tonight, some of which could pack a punch. That's the result of a warm front that will move through the region. In its wake, muggier and warmer air will return.
Muggy, warm & unsettled at times Tomorrow through Thursday
Tomorrow, Wednesday and Thursday will bring about warmer and muggier weather with a mix of clouds and limited sunshine. Highs each day will be in the 80s. There will also be an ongoing chance for isolated showers and storms. The best chance for rain will occur tomorrow, when a cold front will help to concentrate the humidity and lift it into tall rain clouds and thunderheads.
Friday & The Upcoming Weekend
Right now, we are expecting drier weather Friday and next Saturday. High pressure is forecast to be overhead. Hurricane Florence, now a Cat 1 Hurricane, is currently forecast to be south of New England, perhaps making landfall in either South or North Carolina late Thursday or Friday. If this forecast turns out to be true, we would have high clouds but fair weather due to subsidence around the storm’s circulation. We would also have a busy breeze and very rough seas in New England.
High pressure will remain situated overhead all weekend. As Florence weakens and the high pressure cell dominates, cloudy skies Friday will become partly cloudy by Sunday.
MORE ON FLORENCE
Florence has strengthened over the past 8 hours as it moves into the western Atlantic, where hurricane-shredding shear is nonexistent and the hurricane-fueling warm ocean water is plentiful! It is now a strong Cat 4 Hurricane packing winds of 130 mph. There still seems to be model consensus on a landfall somewhere along the North or South Carolina coast, but we cannot take comfort in the accuracy of that forecast yet. The strength of a high pressure system forecast to be over the Northeast is the key to thwarting a direct hit here in Connecticut.
OTHER TROPICAL SYSTEMS
There are two other storms: Hurricane Isaac and Hurricane Helene. Isaac’s path will take it over the Lesser Antilles during the next five days; Helene will curve northwest and then north, staying safely away from North America.
August 2018 went into the record books as one of the warmest and wettest on record! The average temperature at Bradley International Airport came in at 75.9 degrees, which is 4.0 degrees above normal. It was a tie with August 2016 for the 2nd warmest on record! The warmest August on record was in 1973 when the average temperature was 76.4 degrees. Although we had very little rain over the last 9 days of the month (only a trace at Bradley International), August was the 3rd wettest on record with a total of 9.10 inches. The wettest August (and all-time wettest month) was in 1955 when we received a one-two tropical punch from Connie and Diane. Total rainfall was 21.87”. August 2011 is in 2nd place with 11.67”. That was when Tropical Storm Irene brought heavy rain to the state.
So far in 2018, there have been 4 heat waves: the first lasted 7 days… June 29th – July 5th; the second one was only 3 days… July 15th – 17th; the third one was 5 days in duration… August 5th – 9th. Our latest heat wave lasted 4 days (September 3rd – 6th). We’ve now had 32 days this year with a temperature of at least 90 degrees. The record is 38 days in 1983 and the average for a year is 17 days.
Also, a record has been set for longest stretch of consecutive days 80 or higher, for the Hartford Area. The prior record of 36 days from 1939 was well surpassed, with 44 days in a row, from June 28th to August 10th of this year!
Meteorologists Mike Cameron with Scot Haney
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